Park Hills, Mo. (KFMO) - The Parkland is facing a heightened risk of severe weather as strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to develop Monday afternoon and persist into the overnight hours, with additional storm chances lingering into Tuesday. Much of the area is under a Slight Risk of severe weather, while Washington and Iron Counties are included in an Enhanced Risk, according to the latest forecasts from the National Weather Service.
Forecasters say storms are likely to remain isolated and infrequent before 6 p.m. Monday, but activity will become much more widespread between 6 p.m. and 3 a.m. During this period, all modes of severe weather are possible—including large hail greater than 2 inches in diameter, damaging winds up to 70 miles per hour, and tornadoes. There is also a low, but notable, potential for strong EF2+ tornadoes, especially in areas farther west and into central Missouri.
In addition to the severe storm threats, heavy rainfall is likely across the region. Between 2 to 5 inches of rain could fall by late Tuesday, with the majority expected Monday night into Tuesday morning. While this rain may be beneficial for some areas, it also brings the risk of localized flash flooding and minor river or stream flooding.
Tuesday's forecast is more uncertain but still concerning. The environment will remain supportive of strong storms, and isolated severe thunderstorms could develop during the afternoon and evening. If storms do form, all hazards will be on the table, including large hail, damaging winds, and even a tornado or two. However, the threat is conditional, and much depends on how Monday’s storms unfold.
Residents across the Parkland are urged to remain weather-aware, have multiple ways to receive warnings, and prepare now for the possibility of dangerous weather conditions—especially Monday night.